the July 10th 2013 cell that dropped golfball sized hail on Edmonton.
the July 10th 2013 cell that dropped golfball sized hail on Edmonton.
Models starting to show some consistency for Severe thunderstorms over the next 3 days. Today the storms are isolated to to areas south of the Trans Canada highway. Though good CAPE and helicity exist in the Edmonton area, there is no flow aloft and the storms that do form will be stationary and short lived.
Tomorrow looks to be good in the Red Deer area up towards pigeon lake and Drayon Valley, some last long enough to reach the QE2, they look to cycle south through the evening and likely miss Edmonton to the south..
Wednesday looks to be the best, another mean cold front will slice down in the evining not before temperatures reach the high 20s and dews will rise to 20C. not as humid as last week but the shear is significantly better. I put a slight risk of tornadoes in the Pigeon lake, Stony plain, Morinville areas, the risk is slightly lower to the east and south including Edmonton, areas north of Red Deer, and the Camrose, Wetaskiwin area.
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Incredible heat and humidity, humidex rising as high as 46 created some significant instability.

Storms started to explode near Drayton valley, Rimbey, and Buck lake and moved northwest toward the Edmonton area. AlbertaWX was live streaming the first supercell near Winfield. The Storm toonie sized hail and some nice structure including a beautiful back lit funnel cloud, the funnel was well defined and spinning rapidly.
As I(Mike R) was re positioning east I collided with a deer which ended the days chase and could compromise the rest of July as I’m going to need to pay the deductible or possibly get a new car(maybe something more deer proof)
While I have the full coverage with rental i don’t think I want to take this Mitsubishi RVR near a supercell.
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